Bear

If this indicator, which has called bear market bottoms before, is accurate, the stock market would have a lot further to fall.

It also implies that buying an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that mirrors the movements of the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and/or Dow Jones Industrial Average, As noted, the S&P 500 has lost close to a quarter of its value thus far. Though having margin debt portend significant downside in the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq might sound depressing, keep in mind that no indicator has a perfect track record of predicting where bear markets will bottom. For example, the rolling 20-year total return for the end year of 1992 would include years 1973 through 1992, expressed as an average annual total return. What's worth noting is that the coronavirus bear market bottom in 2020 of 2,192 fits comfortably within this range and provides a psychological floor for the most bearish of investors. The S&P 500 went on to lose 49% of its value at its peak. The S&P 500 eventually lost 57% of its value. In total, Crestmont has published the rolling 20-year total returns, expressed as an average annual total return, for 103 end years (1919 through 2021). However, in the few instances where outstanding margin debt skyrocketed in a short time frame (i.e., risk-taking significantly increased), bad things followed. There are other indicators that portend a much steeper decline may be coming, with the most bearish of them being outstanding margin debt. Using data from previous bear markets, these valuation-based metrics suggest the benchmark S&P 500 could hit its trough in the 2,939 to 3,337 range. As of early last week, the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq had respectively shed as much as 20%, 24%, and 34% from their closing highs.

Unwavering profit projections. Benign chart patterns. Big hedges in the options market. All the things that bulls expected to put a brake on the worst ...

“We, on the other hand, think there is a great deal of uncertainty so you stay defensive.” The S&P 500 sank 2.9% in five days to end the month with a host of terrible superlatives. The everything-rally that investors were once accustomed to during 13 years of near-zero interest rates is over. While analyst estimates continued to point to an increase in S&P 500 earnings next year, skeptics say the numbers can’t be trusted when companies from Forecasts for sturdy profit growth in the past offered cushion during times of stress. Extreme pessimism, oversold markets, and rock-bottom fund positioning -- from a technical perspective, the ingredients for a rebound are in place. The June low gave way, as did a series of round numbers and key trendlines such as the 100-day average. Down for a sixth time in seven weeks, the S&P 500 sank to fresh bear-market lows. Notching a 25% decline in nine months, the benchmark index has now suffered its third-worst performance at this point of a year since 1931. Amid the relentless selling, bulls are yielding one after another. While not all Fed hiking cycles spelled doom for equities, those that did typically failed to find a floor until the central bank reversed its course -- a prospect no one on Wall Street can take seriously anytime soon until price pressures subside. “Inflation is a major constraint because any attempt to rescue markets or international financial stability issues are likely to be inflationary,” said Steve Chiavarone, senior portfolio manager at Federated Hermes.

The optimism of late summer has quickly faded in the financial markets as investors are getting the sense that the Fed isn't inclined to stop beating up on ...

There is just the allocation that works for you. Making adjustments at this stage is probably better than making them later if you think you’ll panic at the wrong time. If you don’t prepare, then you are likely to make poor decisions at the wrong time. If you don’t have that confidence, then the field of finance doesn’t have much of an answer for you. The average decline in the stock market during a bear market is about 35%. For instance, in the financial crisis of 2008, the market declined about 57%, and in the tech crash of 2000, about 50%.

We are now approaching the market region which can support a major rally. The nature of the next rally will tell me if we are still on track for higher ...

Moreover, he was banging on the table in November of 2016 that we were about to enter the most powerful phase of the rally to 2600SPX, and he strongly noted that it did not matter who won the 2016 election in the US, despite many believing that the market would “crash” if Trump would win the election. And, to this end, the next rally in the market will likely tell us if a major long-term bear market has indeed begun earlier than I had expected, or if we have one more rally to be seen to new all-time highs before that major long-term bear market begins. As an example of some of his most notable astounding market calls, in July of 2011, he called for the USD to begin a multi-year rally from the 74 region to an ideal target of 103.53. The only question is if the next rally points us to higher highs, or if it only points us to a lower high which would confirm that a long-term bear market has indeed begun earlier than I had initially expected. In January of 2017, the DXY struck 103.82 and began a pullback expected by Avi.As another example of one of his astounding calls, Avi called the top in the gold market during its parabolic phase in 2011, with an ideal target of $1,915. In fact, once he came to the realization that economics and geopolitics fail to assist in understanding how the market works, it allowed him to view financial markets from a more accurate perspective.For those interested in how Avi went from a successful lawyer and accountant to become the founder of Elliottwavetrader.net, his detailed story is linked here. He then went onto the NYU School of Law for his masters of law in taxation (LL.M.).Before retiring from his legal career, Avi was a partner and National Director at a major national firm. However, if the next rally is clearly corrective in nature, then I will have to strongly consider that the bull market off the 2009 low has topped earlier and lower than I initially expected. So when we are wrong in the minority of circumstances, we are able to adjust our course rather quickly, rather than fighting the market. And, as we now know, the market topped exactly at that 4175ES level to the penny, and began the decline within which we have been involved in since that point. Lastly, I want to remind you that we provide our perspective by ranking probabilistic market movements based upon the structure of the market price action. In fact, I even noted that “we will likely see the largest pullback since we bottomed in March of 2020.”

An orphaned black bear cub was rescued by the Greenfield, Massachusetts, police in April. She is being raised with nearly 50 other cubs in a bear ...

"They're either playing with each other or exploring in search of acorns and other sorts of food. So they'll coalesce in relatively big groups underneath pine trees and oaks and take naps," he said. But with 47 bears this year and more cubs coming, he plans to build even more. Many go back to the barn to sleep if it rains. Pretty raucous," Kilham said. "He's quite a big male bear these days.

The study found that sloth bears preferred a high-fat, low carbohydrate diet, which may have a makeup similar to their wild diet of termites and ants as well as ...

“All of these bears started evolving about 50 million years ago, and in terms of this aspect of their diet, they know more about it than we do. [previous studies of polar bears](https://news.wsu.edu/press-release/2022/01/19/high-protein-diet-may-harm-polar-bears/) that showed captive polar bears, who are normally fed a high-protein diet, would mimic the fat-rich diet of wild polar bears if given the option. This showed sloth bears preferred a high-fat, low-carbohydrate diet, which may have a similar makeup to their wild diet of termites and ants as well as their eggs and larvae. In separate experiments, researchers presented captive giant pandas and sloth bears at different U.S. “In zoos forever, whether it’s polar bears, brown bears or sloth bears, the recommendation has been to feed them as if they are high-protein carnivores. “Bears are not carnivores in the strictest sense like a cat where they consume a high-protein diet,” said lead author Charles Robbins, a Washington State University wildlife biology professor.

Bears are not cats or dogs, and feeding them like they are likely shortens their lives. A new study on the diets of giant pandas and sloth bears adds more ...

Researchers saw a similar pattern in previous studies of polar bears that showed captive polar bears, who are normally fed a high-protein diet, would mimic the fat-rich diet of wild polar bears if given the option. It's also vastly different than the high-carbohydrate diet they are usually fed in captivity. This showed sloth bears preferred a high-fat, low-carbohydrate diet, which may have a similar makeup to their wild diet of termites and ants as well as their eggs and larvae. In sets of feeding trials, six sloth bears at the Cleveland, Little Rock and San Diego zoos, were presented with unlimited avocados, baked yams, whey and apples. In separate experiments, researchers presented captive giant pandas and sloth bears at different U.S. "Bears are not carnivores in the strictest sense like a cat where they consume a high-protein diet," said lead author Charles Robbins, a Washington State University wildlife biology professor.

Bears, killer ducks and Nazis... oh my! Plus the team discusses bad screener experiences. Listen via Empire.

For three bear cubs on Alaska's Brooks River, the sight of a giant moose bounding past them might still be etched upon their minds.

Here's where to vote and how to watch your favorite bears of Katmai National Park and Preserve during Fat Bear Week 2022.

It's that time of year again. The country will vote in the March Madness-style competition for who they think is the fattest bear of them all.

The highly anticipated annual celebration of Katmai National Park's most rotund bears kicks off on Wednesday. The tournament runs Oct. 5-Oct. 11 to decide ...

The highly anticipated annual celebration of Katmai National Park's most rotund bears kicks off this week. Fat Bear Week returns Wednesday with a tournament ...

Fat Bear Week is bracket-style, single elimination tournament where participants can vote online for the park's fattest bears. The bears with the most votes ...

A competition is giving bear fans nationwide a chance to celebrate their favorite Alaskan (fat) bear's bulking up for winter hibernation at Katmai National ...

Colorado Parks and wildlife officers are still looking for a bear that attacked a man at his home just outside New Castle over the weekend.

If a bear is spotted on your property, make loud noises and throw things at them to scare them away. “We continue to see a lot of bear activity during the overnight hours as bears prepare for hibernation,” Oldham said. Garfield County Sheriff’s Office deputies attempted to use a drone with infrared sensors to locate the bear but were unsuccessful. on Sunday and arrived at the scene at 2 a.m. The attack happened at 10:30 p.m., Saturday after the victim said he went to investigate a noise outside his home. Once he grabbed his gun, he shot three times scaring the bear away.

Colorado wildlife officials say a man survived a bear attack this weekend in the backyard of his home when he fired at the animal and scared it away after ...

It's the second attack this year in New Castle, about 130 miles west of Denver. A woman was charged by a bear in the first attack and the mother and cub had ...

A New Castle man is expected to recover after he was reportedly attacked by a bear in his home, marking a second bear attack in the small community this ...

A New Castle resident survived an early Sunday morning bear attack in his backyard, and Colorado Parks and Wildlife officials are searching for the bear, ...

A man was attacked by a bear outside his home in New Castle, Colorado, after he went to his backyard to check on a noise, officials say.

The victim was taken to the hospital by a family member with minor injuries to his hand, arm and chest. Wildlife officers arrived on scene just after 2 a.m. and ...

So who made the cut, and who should you vote for? Let's catch up on this year's competition. (explore.org) ...

October 5-11 is “Fat Bear Week,” a celebration of the bears at Brooks River in Katmai National Park, Alaska, preparing for their winter hibernation.