Ohio

Recent polls have suggested the Senate race in Ohio may be tied, but no nonpartisan analyst is treating it as such.

Of course, it wouldn’t be the craziest thing in the world for the Ohio Senate polls to be right this year. Final polls for governor (in midterm years) and president (in presidential years) have overestimated the Democratic candidate by at least 6 points in every Ohio election since 2014. In 2018, Ohio Democratic Sen. And the national environment looks like it is 5 or more points more Republican this year than two years ago. Kander ran more than 15 points ahead of Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton. The average of all the polls have Vance up by a point or two at most. Gonzales, which rate the race as lean Republican. If the polls are, however, correct, Democrats may have a pickup opportunity that few people are acknowledging is at least as good as Wisconsin, where GOP Sen. Take a look at surveys published this week from Marist College (among definite 2022 voters) and Siena College. Tim Ryan and Republican J.D. Picking up Ohio, a long-time swing state that’s been trending red, isn’t usually mentioned as part of their roadmap to preserving their narrow majority. And that’s where Ohio could come in.