Heat vs Hawks

NBA odds, picks, and predictions for the Atlanta Hawks at Miami Heat on March 6. NBA betting best bet and free pick analysis.

The Heat are 15-17 O/U at home and 1-2 O/U versus the Hawks this season. They’ve scored a collective 106 points in the paint in those contests and have then been sharp from outside on kick-outs, with 25 triples in that two-game stretch. Overall, Atlanta is 14-18-1 ATS on the road and 28-35-1 ATS overall on the season. Saturday’s total hit the board at 225.5 with both teams playing the second of back-to-back nights and that rose to 227.5 at some shops. Plugging up the paint will be an emphasis tonight after the Heat scored 54 points inside the key in the last outing. That’s trickled down into a 29-26 O/U count despite bookies trimming those totals significantly over the past month. That victory snapped a two-game slide for the Heat but was also their second straight solid offensive effort after struggling to score the basketball the past month. That also allowed the Heat to get back on the defensive end and clog up Atlanta’s pick-and-roll heavy attack. They hit 13 of 35 attempts from beyond the arc against Atlanta while shooting a collective 51% from the field Saturday. Part of that defensive success was an uptick in offensive efficiency, with Miami getting in close for quality looks. The Heat and Hawks are sitting No. That led to a 2-4 mark against the spread.

MIAMI (AP) — Jimmy Butler had 26 points, Victor Oladipo and Caleb Martin each scored 21 off the Miami bench and the Heat held off the Atlanta Hawks 130-128 ...

It was also the Hawks’ second-highest scoring quarter of the season; they had 49 in the second quarter against Cleveland on Feb. Martin had 16 points in the second quarter off the bench to help Miami get within 68-63 at halftime, and the Hawks’ lead was 96-92 entering the fourth. ... Monday marked the sixth time this season the Hawks had seven players in double figures, and they were all there by the midpoint of the third quarter. It was the most points allowed by Miami in any quarter this season. The Hawks shot 76% (19 for 25) in the first 12 minutes, led by as many as 15 and took a 43-30 edge into the second. Hawks: The 43-point first quarter was the most Atlanta had ever scored in 601 quarters all-time against Miami. ... PF Kevin Love (bruised right rib) missed the game, his first absence since signing with the Heat. And now the Heat will take a bit of momentum into trying to chase down others in the Eastern Conference. Butler also had nine rebounds and nine assists for Miami (35-31), which swept a two-game set from the Hawks and moved 2 1/2 games clear of Atlanta in the race for No. Bam Adebayo scored 16 points, Duncan Robinson had 14, Tyler Herro finished with 13 and the Heat set a season high with 59 bench points. The Heat took the season series 3-1, so they hold the tiebreaker as well. They also made 16 3-pointers, their most in a game since Dec.

Roberto Arguello breaks down the Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat matchup on Monday, March 6 and his betting pick.

The Hawks don’t take a ton of 3s — 29th in 3-point Shot Frequency (30.1%) this season — and they have dropped from third in 3-point Accuracy last season (37.8%) to 22nd this season (35.3%). While I’m not expecting Playoff Butler tonight, I’m expecting “Jimmy Buckets” to be more locked in than in a normal regular season game with this matchup carrying significant playoff positioning ramifications. After giving up exactly 71 points at halftime in each of their previous games, the Heat held the Hawks to 49 first-half points Saturday. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. The Hawks lost the math battle in the game Saturday, hitting just nine of their 30 3-pointers (30%) while Miami shot 13-of-35 (37.1%) from downtown. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. I’m expecting Butler to be more aggressive after a day off against the Hawks this time around. I’m also expecting a bigger night from Jimmy Butler on Monday. The Miami defense has given up the second-most 3-point attempts (39.8% of shots) this season. The Heat took a 2-1 season series lead with Saturday’s 117-109 win. Their Southeast Division lead over the Hawks grew to 1.5 games as they guaranteed themselves at least a split of the four-game regular season series. However, the Heat’s variance luck has taken a turn for the worse as they went from ranking first in 3-point Accuracy Allowed last season (34.1%) to 21st this season (37.1%).

Find out how to watch, live stream or TV channel and game time information for the March 6, 2023 matchup between the Miami Heat and the Atlanta Hawks.