El Nino

Most models have concluded that the prolonged La Nina has ended, and the East Equatorial Pacific is transitioning into a “neutral” state before giving in later ...

Rainfall: Above normal over most of country except Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, Ladakh, coastal Karnataka, Goa, Madhya Maharashtra and west Madhya Pradesh. June: Below normal for most of country except Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, and Punjab where it will be above normal. May: Above normal for most of country including South. September: Mostly below normal for entire country. Rain deficit likely to be predominant over coastal Karnataka and Kerala. Temperature: April-May-June: Rajasthan, Gujarat, west Madhya Pradesh, west Maharashtra, coastal Karnataka, Kerala and south Tamil Nadu are likely to observe warmer than normal conditions. Rain deficit over central Madhya Pradesh, east Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal and coastal Karnataka. Overall, rains will likely stay above normal over the South and the hills of North-West India; below normal over North-East India; and near-normal over the rest of the country. Similarly, a trough will combine with a cyclonic circulation over the East and the South to bring isolated to scattered rain and thunderstorm over the region. An India Meteorological Department (IMD) outlook for March 23-29 has already indicated western disturbance activity and an induced cyclonic circulation will trigger isolated to scattered rain and thunderstorms over the hills of North-West India and adjoining plains during many days of the week. Most models indicate prevailing thunderstorms would continue and cool down most of the country during April as well. What is interesting could be the build-up during April and May, normally when the heat begins to build up over North-West India, adjoining Central India and even East India.

We found La Nina and El Nino are good indicators of wet and dry conditions in eastern Australia as a whole. But at some locations, including Sydney, they do ...

But in some places, La Nina and El Nino do not markedly change the normal odds of wet or dry conditions. The chance of a dry spring is around normal (33 per cent) in other regions. [The Conversation](https://theconversation.com) under a Creative Commons licence. It suggests La Nina is not a strong indicator for wet conditions in this region. Because the rainfall in this region is particularly sensitive to the frequency with which the local winds blow from the east to west. [weak relationship with La Nina and El Nino](https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.3741). After all, just consider the large amount of rain that has fallen on the east coast over the past couple of years during La Nina, including [Sydney’s record-breaking 2022](https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-10-06/sydney-breaks-annual-rainfall-record/101506452). Our aim was to see if these “normal” odds change during El Nino and La Nina events. Linked to them are certain expectations: We expect wet conditions in La Nina and dry conditions in El Nino. But at some locations, including Sydney, they do little to shift the normal odds of wet and dry conditions. [El Nino watch](https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-03-14/bureau-of-meteorology-declares-el-nino-watch/102093892). First, we ordered the past 72 years of rainfall data from the wettest spring to the driest.

All eyes are on the sky as La Niña finally ends, but two experts have warned even more catastrophic conditi...

[[email protected]](mailto:[email protected]). "We've had three years of good rain, which means good growth. "We'll be doing our best to try and catch up as much as we can but realistically we're not going to be able to catch up before next summer. "We will prioritise the work we can, but we're just not going to get it all done." "That's what firefighters do everything to try and prevent. "The memory for me is when we started to lose lives, and then firefighter lives as well," he said. "Now we have grass everywhere and it's not just a little, it's a lot, and the water table is quite high, so it will keep growing. "The concern is there is also climate change happening in the background, so if we do have an El Niño it's going to be hotter and drier than what it would have been," she said. Adding to the concern is the fact the service is "way behind" on mitigation strategies like burn-offs because of the persistent wet weather. "Leading into that 2019/2020 fire season we were on the back of a multi-year drought, so there was no grass in the west at all," he told 9news.com.au. "It doesn't matter if we have El Niño, summer means bushfire risk for Australia and we need to get ready," Dr Jaci Brown said. But the research director for CSIRO's Climate Intelligence Program said Australians need to "be ready" for a bad bushfire season - regardless of whether El Niño develops or not.

THE National Water Resources Board (NWRB) on Wednesday gave assurances that the Angat Dam, which supplies 96 percent of Metro Manila's water needs, ...

David said preparations for the El Niño were underway, including the construction of the Putatan and Cardona water treatment plants, as well as deep wells in strategic locations. The El Niño phenomenon is characterized by the abnormal warming of sea surface temperature in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, as well as below-normal rainfall. said in a radio interview, noting that the dam's water level is higher than the normal level of 192 meters.

MANILA, Philippines — State meteorologists on Thursday issued an El Niño Watch, indicating the increased likelihood that the weather phenomenon ...

But if cyclones approach the country, their winds and rains are likely to be more intense. In 2019, Metro Manila and neighboring provinces experienced water shortage as the El Niño contributed to a massive decline in rainfall. “We have a window for anticipation.

El Nino, a weather phenomenon characterized by below-normal rainfall that can lead to dry spells and drought, may persist until 2024, PAGASA said.

Let us wait for the update of our forecast, then we can update the projections. Ang tinitingnan natin na magkakaroon tayo ng challenges sa water supply is next year," he said. El Niño is the warm phase of the naturally-occurring climate pattern El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), marked by changes in wind direction and sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific. The forecast prompted the weather agency to issue an El Niño Watch, which is released when "conditions are favorable" for the development of El Niño in the next 6 months and the probability is 55 percent or above. (It's just monitoring and preparatory activities so in the coming days the impact of El Niño will not be seen yet.) Climate projections by PAGASA show that El Niño will begin by the third quarter of 2023 or between July and September, and will last until next year.

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said the ENSO-neutral condition — or neither La Niña nor El Niño — is ...

PAGASA warned that El Niño increases the likelihood of below-normal rainfall conditions, which could bring dry spells and droughts in some areas of the country. The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said the ENSO-neutral condition — or neither La Niña nor El Niño — is expected to continue between July and August. El Niño likely to begin in 2nd half of 2023 – PAGASA